Alert Details:
Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for all of New Jersey for 6-10 inches of snow. The Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 1PM Tuesday Until 7AM Wednesday.
The National Weather Service office in Upton NY, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Northeastern New Jersey for 7-14 inches of snow. The Warning is in effect through Wednesday morning.
The National Weather Service in Mt. Holly, NJ has issued a Winter Storm Warning for much of New Jersey for 5-9 inches of snow. The Warning is in effect through Wednesday morning.
The National Weather Service in Mt. Holly has issued a Winter Storm Watch for extreme Northwest New Jersey, and Coastal New Jersey, from Coastal Ocean, south to Coastal Cape May County. The potential exists for snow totals in excess of 4 inches in the Watch area.
New Jersey Weather Discussion:
Two pieces of energy are expected to merge off the coast of the Delmarva Peninsula and rapidly strengthen into a significant Nor'easter as it moves Northeast towards Eastern Long Island. This will result in moderate to heavy snow accumulations.
Currently there are two different scenarios that could unfold for this system, as weather models are not in full agreement. The first scenario would be the low pressure forming near the Delmarva and slowly intensifying pushing Northeast away from the coast, bringing moderate to heavy snow accumulations to the area. The second scenario is that the storm forms near the Delmarva and rapidly intensifies and moves more North-Northeast and causes mixing at the coast, and significant snowfall accumulations across the Western half of New Jersey. At this point I will split the track down the middle and go with moderate to heavy snowfall accumulations for the entire state. A widespread 6-10 inches of snow is likely across the region with the highest amounts across Northeastern New Jersey, and the lowest amounts across Southern New Jersey.
This storm will be substantially weaker then the post Christmas day storm, so while some blowing and drifting of snow is possible, it wont be as extreme. Winds at there highest may gust near 35MPH, mainly along the coast. I will continue to monitor trends for the potential of mixing at the coast, which would hold down on snowfall amounts along the coast. Either way get ready for some snow and Stay tuned for further updates on this storm system.
No comments:
Post a Comment